This week, I'm filling you in on some of my observations from the opening week of the season, and letting you in on some of the better matchups around the league as we head into Week 2.
First, some observations.
1. Rookie QBs aren't worth a start -- yet.
|Photo by: Mike DiNovo|
2. Running backs = confusion.
No other position will give you more headaches this year than the RB position. Alfred Morris and Stevan Ridley combined for 219 yards and 3 TDs, while Chris Johnson, Michael Turner, and Steven Jackson wasted roster spots, combining for 89 yards. Also surprising were the performances of Adrian Peterson, Maurice Jones-Drew, and Jamaal Charles, who were coming off injuries or holdouts -- further confusing fantasy owners on Sunday. I believe that backs will be shuffled in and out during the season, making this position very tough to predict all year.
3. Julio Jones and Roddy White will continue to dominate.
Until further notice, the Atlanta pair is the best in the business, at least from a fantasy football standpoint. The numbers were good on Sunday with the two combining for 12 catches, 195 yards and 2 scores. Those numbers would have been even better, but Atlanta was putting a serious beat down on Kansas City, so they let off the gas somewhat. Jones and White should reach at least 12 targets per game moving forward, which should mean big numbers for them almost every week.
4. Kevin Ogletree madness.
Ogletree had a breakout game with 8 catches for 114 yards and 2 touchdowns last Wednesday night, prompting the question -- who the hell is Kevin Ogletree? The 4th-year WR from the University of Virginia had only 25 catches for 294 yards over his first 3 years in the league, so before you go losing your mind over his performance, remember that it had some special circumstances attached to it: 1. The Giants were down to their 6th cornerback that barely made the roster. 2. Jason Witten was playing with a lacerated spleen. 3. Dez Bryant and Miles Austin barely played in the preseason due to injuries. Basically, Tony Romo had no choice but to throw to Ogletree. As the other guys get more healthy, I don't expect Ogletree to get the same amount of looks.
5. Pay attention to offensive line play.
Looking at offensive line play is something fantasy players should do more often, instead of just paying attention to skill positions. The Titans interior O-line was a special kind of awful on Sunday, as the team only rushed for 20 yards. On several occasions, Chris Johnson was surrounded by multiple New England defenders 3 yards deep in the backfield as soon as he got the ball. The Rams offensive line suffered two injuries and struggled all day long as well, as they failed to create any running lanes for Steven Jackson and also allowed Sam Bradford to be knocked around repeatedly. Keep an eye on the Bears line this season. While they performed fairly well in Week 1, they have struggled protecting Jay Cutler the last 2 seasons, and that could be a factor in 2012.
And now, good matchups for Week 2.
1. Matt Ryan vs Denver
2. Philip Rivers vs Tennessee
3. Cam Newton vs New Orleans
1. Stevan Ridley vs Arizona
2. BenJarvus Green-Ellis vs Cleveland
3. Darren McFadden vs Miami
1. Steve Johnson vs Kansas City
2. Brandon Lloyd vs Arizona
3. Percy Harvin vs Indianapolis
1. Owen Daniels vs Jacksonville
2. Jacob Tamme vs Atlanta
3. Jared Cook vs San Diego
1. Oakland D/ST vs Miami
2. Houston D/ST vs Jacksonville
3. Washington D/ST vs St. Louis
*Catch me on Fantasy Football Live every Sunday morning from 8:00-9:00, and on the Thom Abraham Show every Wednesday afternoon starting at 3:40 for even more Fantasy Football talk on Sports Radio 560 WNSR Nashville.